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January 9, 2025

Market Concentration Poses Risks for US Equities in 2025

Strategists at Barclays have identified ongoing market concentration as a major risk factor for U.S. equities in 2025. The dominance of mega-cap technology companies is significantly impacting the breadth of potential market upside.

Currently, the top 10 stocks within the S&P 500 account for 29.3% of the index’s weight. In 2024, these stocks generated approximately half of the index’s gains, a slight decrease from 56% in 2023. Notably, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) contributed 5.4% of overall returns last year, underscoring the reliance on a few dominant players.

Market analysts advise investors to remain cautious given this concentration risk, which limits diversification and could amplify market vulnerabilities.

In contrast, sectors like Technology, Media, and Telecom (TMT) and Financials have demonstrated robust earnings, underscoring that opportunities still exist despite market dynamics.

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