Johnson & Johnson Surges Past Earnings Estimates Driven by Oncology Growth
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) reported impressive results for Q1, exceeding expectations in both revenue and profit. The strong performance from its pharmaceutical division, especially in the oncology segment, played a pivotal role in this success. Despite challenges posed by biosimilar competition and tariffs, J&J has raised its full-year revenue forecast, demonstrating confidence in its expanding drug lineup.
Q1 2025 Key Highlights
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Revenue: $21.89 billion (+2.4% YoY)
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Adjusted EPS: $2.77 (versus $2.59 estimate)
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Innovative Medicines Revenue: $13.87 billion (versus $13.43 billion estimate)
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MedTech Revenue: $8.02 billion (missed estimate of $8.17 billion)
Oncology Fuels Growth
J&J’s oncology portfolio remains a key driver of performance:
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Darzalex (multiple myeloma): $3.24 billion (+20% YoY)
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Carvykti (cell therapy): $369 million (exceeds estimate of $324 million)
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Total Oncology Drug Revenue: $5.68 billion (+18%)
This positive trend reflects strong demand, especially among treatments facing limited biosimilar threats.
Performance Variability in Other Segments
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Stelara (psoriasis): Sales down 33% to $1.63 billion, but still above estimates of $1.42 billion.
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MedTech Division: Although up 2.5% YoY, it fell short of expectations due to short-term softness, with improvements expected in H2 2025.
Updated Guidance
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FY Sales Forecast: Increased to $91.6 billion – $92.4 billion from $90.9 billion – $91.7 billion.
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Adjusted EPS Outlook: Adjusted down to $10.50 – $10.70 from $10.75 – $10.95.
Reasons for EPS Adjustment
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$14.6 billion acquisition of Intra-Cellular (developer of Caplyta for schizophrenia).
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Effects of Tariffs from the Trump Administration.
What to Monitor Moving Forward
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Biosimilar pressure on Stelara: Anticipate increasing U.S. market competition.
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Potential shifts in tariff policies may affect future earning capabilities.
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Integration of Intra-Cellular and Caplyta’s performance will be crucial in H2.
Conclusion
Overall, Johnson & Johnson’s robust Q1 results coupled with oncology strength offer promising insights. However, margin pressures and biosimilar risks indicate a need for cautious optimism. The upcoming H2 performance in MedTech and the integration of Caplyta are factors to keep an eye on.