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April 7, 2025

Goldman Sachs Increases US Recession Odds Amid Trade Tensions

Goldman Sachs has escalated its forecast for a U.S. recession, now estimating the odds at 45%, up from a previous 35%. This marks the second increase within a week, driven by escalating trade tensions and the threat posed by tariffs. Investment banks have been wary as economic indicators suggest that the situation could worsen, prompting caution among investors. These insights shed light on the growing concerns about economic stability. Stakeholders need to adapt quickly to this evolving landscape, understanding that proactive strategies can mitigate potential risks associated with a recession. Continuous monitoring of economic indicators is essential for navigating these challenging times.

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