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March 5, 2025

Bank of America is Bullish on Vistra and AES as Growth Strategies Change

Bank of America has made significant upgrades to its ratings for Vistra (NYSE: VST) and AES Corp (NYSE: AES). They upgraded Vistra from “Neutral” to “Buy” and AES from “Underperform” to “Neutral” based on the companies’ improved capital discipline and strategic growth focuses.


Key Takeaways

Vistra (NYSE: VST) โ€“ Upgraded to “Buy”
Vistra has seen a favorable valuation after recent underperformance. The company is well-positioned to benefit from strengthening power markets and rising energy demand. It has reduced capital expenditures by $1.3 billion, concentrating on investments that promise higher returns. A $300 million cost-cutting initiative enhances Vistraโ€™s ability to meet its growth objectives. Despite a reduction in its price target from $164 to $152, Vistra still presents a total return potential of 23%.

AES Corp (NYSE: AES) โ€“ Upgraded to “Neutral”
AESโ€™s decision to cut capital spending and implement more realistic growth targets for its renewable energy segment improves its execution prospects. The price target has been adjusted upward to $13 from $11, indicating a more stable outlook, although the company faces risks related to asset sales and funding constraints.


Investor Outlook: What’s Next?

Vistra’s disciplined allocation of capital enhances its long-term growth potential. Conversely, AESโ€™s strategic changes help mitigate risks, although it will need to manage funding challenges effectively. Both companies could see favorable outcomes from a tightening power market.

Bottom Line: Vistra’s strategic focus on cost-cutting and disciplined growth makes it a compelling buy. At the same time, AES’s adjustments signal positive long-term execution potential.

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