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June 12, 2025

UBS Confirms Gold’s Pause is The Launchpad for Future Gains

Gold recently reached a remarkable all-time high of $3,500 in late April. UBS analysts suggest that the current consolidation phase represents a healthy breather and indicates a potential upswing ahead. Here is what investors should keep in mind:

Understanding the Positive Pause

  • Consistent Bullish Sentiment
    UBS emphasizes that gold’s recent pause signals a positive outlook. The factors driving long-term demandโ€”geopolitical risks, fiscal uncertainties, and shifts in Federal Reserve policyโ€”remain unchanged.

  • Safe-Haven Demand Amidst Volatility
    The ongoing fluctuations in U.S. tariff news and key economic indicators contribute to heightened uncertainty, which reinforces gold’s status as a viable portfolio diversifier.

Analyzing Supply and Demand

  • Official Sector Accumulation
    Central banks are steadily adding gold to their reserves, effectively pulling metal from the market and tightening supply availability.

  • Strong ETF Inflows and Retail Demand
    Robust inflows into gold ETFs, along with elevated retail purchases, suggest that even minor changes in volume can drive prices higher.

Technical Insight

For real-time updates on gold prices and volume trends, leverage the Entreprenerdly.com‘s Commodities API. It provides up-to-the-minute spot and forward contract data on gold, silver, and other precious metals.

Exploring the Shift to White Metals

UBS has noted the rising interest in platinum and palladium, stating:

  • Outperformance of Platinum: Platinum has surpassed both gold and silver, exhibiting a market under stress characterized by tight physical availability and increasing industrial demand.

  • Trend-Indicating Ratios: Recent price ratios of gold to silver and platinum have shifted favorably towards the white metals, indicating potential investor rotation among these commodities.

Keeping an Eye on Economic Catalysts

With Federal Reserve decisions and tariff updates being critical, remain vigilant regarding upcoming interest rate decisions and economic data releases. Entreprenerdly.com offers live alerts on:

  • Federal Reserve interest rate decisions

  • Consumer and Producer Price Index reports

  • Trade balance updates

Any unexpected results in these updates could propel gold’s next significant move.

Future Outlook: Positioning for a Rally

  • Liquidity Enhancement: In a low-volume environment, even moderate buying can lead to substantial price movements.

  • Diversification Importance: Ongoing fiscal deficits and ongoing tariff uncertainties continue to solidify gold’s safe-haven reputation.

  • Monitoring Ratio Trades: Be alert for significant movements in platinum or silver, which could influence momentum in gold prices.

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