U.S. stock index futures moved slightly higher on Monday evening in a holiday-thinned session, with investors focused on potential new trade tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.

1. Market Snapshot: Futures Drift Higher

Modest Gains in U.S. Futures

• S&P 500 Futures +0.2% to 6,141.0
• Nasdaq 100 Futures +0.1% to 22,220.0
• Dow Jones Futures +0.2% to 44,712.0

Low trading volumes due to the U.S. market holiday meant fewer fresh market cues.

Key Market Concerns
✅ Trump’s trade tariffs: New reciprocal duties could impact global trade.
✅ Interest rates: Investors remain wary of the “higher-for-longer” rate stance.
✅ Sticky inflation: Last week’s inflation data kept the Fed cautious on rate cuts.

2. Trump’s Tariff Plan Implications

Trump’s Tariff Strategy

• President Donald Trump reiterated his plan to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that impose tariffs on U.S. exports.
• European and Asian markets could be severely affected due to their VAT-based trade systems.

Market Impact:

• Stocks initially dipped on tariff concerns but rebounded after Trump indicated the duties wouldn’t take effect until April.
• The S&P 500 is now near record highs, suggesting investor confidence remains strong.

3. Key Takeaways for Investors

Markets are pricing in Trump’s tariff threats cautiously.
Interest rate uncertainty remains a key risk.
S&P 500 nearing record highs despite trade headwinds.

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Final Thoughts

U.S. futures edged higher in light trading.
Trump’s tariff threats could weigh on global markets in Q2.
Interest rate outlook remains uncertain, keeping investors cautious.

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