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April 1, 2025

SPY Strategy Update: The 200-Day SMA Signals Caution

For those trading SPY, utilizing a mechanical strategy proves effective for making decisions. The strategy focuses on the S&P 500’s performance against its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at month-end. If the index closes above this SMA, traders might buy or hold, while a close below signals a need to step back from the market. This approach helps avoid emotional decision-making, allowing investors to remain invested in uptrends and exit in downtrends. Maintaining discipline in trading strategies becomes crucial during periods of market volatility. Traders should implement this strategy as they navigate the current economic landscape, ensuring they act based on data rather than panic.

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