Swiss lift and escalator manufacturer Schindler has projected low single-digit revenue growth for 2025 citing weakness in new construction activity while highlighting growth in modernization and services.

1 Revenue Growth Outlook for 2025

Schindler expects limited revenue expansion in local currency terms due to:

• Declining demand in new construction projects.
• Stronger momentum in modernization and service segments.

Market Impact:

• Companies reliant on new real estate development may face headwinds.
• Service-based revenue models may outperform.

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2 EBIT Margin Expected at 12% in 2025

The company forecasts an EBIT margin of ~12 for the year slightly lower than Q4 2024 levels. In Q4 2024 adjusted EBIT margin improved to 12.5 from 11.4 reflecting:

• Improved pricing strategies.
• Restructuring measures.
• Ongoing digitization initiatives.

Market Impact:

• Margin stability signals better cost control despite weaker revenue growth.
• Tech-driven efficiencies could provide long-term profitability gains.

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3 Q4 2024 Financial Performance

Quarterly sales reached 2.86 billion Swiss francs missing analysts’ expectations of 2.95 billion francs.

Key Figures (Q4 2024 vs. Q4 2023):

• EBIT margin: 12.5 up from 11.4
• Revenue: 2.86B CHF below forecast of 2.95B CHF

Market Impact:

• A weaker top-line performance may pressure investor sentiment.
• Investors will watch modernization and service growth as key revenue drivers.

Final Thoughts

Schindler’s 2025 growth outlook remains cautious as new construction declines but services expand. Investors should monitor:

• Profitability trends amid cost optimizations.
• Service and modernization revenue as growth drivers.
• Macroeconomic factors affecting new construction.