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June 2, 2025

Loop Capital Forecasts Positive Tariff Impacts for Apple Ahead of iPhone 17

Loop Capital holds a Hold rating for Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), signaling a $215 price target based on anticipated benefits from tariff-related production shifts that may spur iPhone demand ahead of the upcoming iPhone 17 launch.

Utilizing Tariffs as Leverage

  • Shifting Shipments: Apple is expected to accelerate iPhone production into the March and June quarters to avoid future tariffs linked with the iPhone 17 transition.

  • Increased Selling Prices: Loop’s analysis indicates that Apple has set higher average selling prices on iPhone 17 Pro/Pro Max models by $100 to $200, potentially counteracting margin pressures from tariffs.

  • Shipment Forecasts: Projections for iPhone 17 shipments have been revised upward to 100 million units (from 92 million), including 31 million for the iPhone 17 Airโ€”a significant increase from earlier estimates.

Investors can remain optimistic, as Loop encourages viewing tariff challenges as manageable hurdles if enthusiasm for the upcoming iPhone 17โ€”along with future modelsโ€”persists.

Focus on Generative AI Investments

Loop points out Appleโ€™s pivot toward developing generative AI infrastructure:

  • Major Orders: Apple has placed $1 billion in orders for GB300 NVL72 from Supermicro and Dell (NYSE: DEL/DELL), aiming to enhance its internal compute capabilities for services like Siri.

This strategic investment suggests a conscious shift as Apple moves towards a more AI-centric model, indicated by upcoming developments in Siri and associated technologies.

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