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April 23, 2025

Gold Prices Surge to New Heights Amid Fed Uncertainty and Trade Tensions

Gold prices soared to record highs on Tuesday, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid President Trumpโ€™s criticism of the Fed and rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China.


Current Price Overview

  • Spot Gold: Up by 0.6% to $3,442.48/oz (09:15 ET)

  • June Gold Futures: Up by 0.9% to $3,455.90/oz

  • Intraday Peak: Briefly reached $4,500/oz

  • Year-to-Date Performance: +30%, indicating the best-performing commodity of 2025


Threats to Fed Independence

  • โ€œMr. Too Lateโ€ Comments: Trump accused Powell of being a “major loser” while demanding immediate rate cuts.

  • Firing Speculation: White House adviser Kevin Hassett confirmed discussions are ongoing about Powellโ€™s potential removal, boosting safe-haven asset flows.

  • Market Reactions: Analysts at ING highlight that these developments have led to a significant flight to safe-haven assets.


Trade War Pressures

  • Rising Tariffs: Current U.S. tariffs on China are as high as 145%, with retaliatory measures from Beijing reaching 125%.

  • Chinaโ€™s Stance: Beijing has warned against any U.S. trade agreements that threaten their interests, indicating possible reciprocal actions.

  • Dollar Weakness: The U.S. Dollar Index has fallen to a three-year low, enhancing goldโ€™s appeal for international buyers.


ETF Trends and Inventory Movements

  • ETF Holdings: Gold ETF holdings hit their highest dollar value since September 2023, fueled by rising prices.

  • COMEX Inventory: Stocks have decreased by about 2 million oz since early April, resting under 43.1 million oz, as tariff exemptions and negative arbitrage encourage physical purchases.


Future Considerations for Gold Investors

  • Key Data to Watch:

    • Fed Commentary: Any comments that could address Powellโ€™s future with the Fed are crucial.

    • Trade Updates: Monitoring progress (or setbacks) in U.S.-China trade talks is essential.

    • Inflation Reports: Important CPI and PCE figures will help gauge trends in real interest rates.

  • Technical Support and Resistance Levels: Watch for support near $3,300/oz and resistance at approximately $3,600/oz.


Real-Time Gold Price Tracking Tools

For live and historical gold pricing, alongside other commodity data, refer to the
Commodities API
from Entreprenerdly.com. This API offers essential real-time quotes, inventory data, and trend analyses to navigate the current safe-haven rally.

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