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April 24, 2025

Gold Prices Rebound as Geopolitical Tensions Rise and Risk Appetite Grows

Gold prices rose sharply amid increased safe-haven demand as Asian markets reacted to uncertainties surrounding US China trade relations and renewed geopolitical conflicts involving Russia and Ukraine.


Current Price Movements

  • Spot Gold: Up 1.3% to $3,331.34 per ounce as of 01:37 ET.

  • June Futures: Increased by 1.4%, now priced at $3,341.25 per ounce.

  • Record High: Prices near this week’s peak of $3,500 per ounce.

  • JP Morgan Forecast: Predicts gold could reach $4,000 per ounce by 2026.


Driving Forces Behind Gold Price Movements

Trade Uncertainty

  • Stalled Tariff Discussions: Trump’s conditional tariff reductions amplify skepticism in the market.

  • Bessent’s Warning: Emphasized that trade negotiations will require significant time and effort.

  • Impact of Currency Valuations: A weaker dollar is fueling gold’s appeal among investors.

Geopolitical Concerns

  • Russia Ukraine Tensions: Escalating clashes have led to increased investment in traditional safe havens like gold.

Federal Reserve Dynamics

  • Powell’s Position: Easing threats to dismiss Powell have maintained attractiveness for gold investments.


Future Considerations for Gold Traders

  1. Developments in Ukraine: Continued hostilities may trigger further inflows into gold.

  2. Concrete Trade Announcements: Watch for actual plans regarding tariff reductions that could impact gold prices.

  3. Inflation Reports: US CPI and PCE data will clarify the inflation narrative.


Investors should remain vigilant as they track macroeconomic indicators and geopolitical shifts, which are pivotal for future movements in gold prices.

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