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February 18, 2025

Asian Markets Stymied Amid AI Rally Deceleration and Economic Apprehensions

Monday saw Asian markets trading within a narrow range as worries about heightened U.S. trade tariffs and prevailing high interest rates took center stage. The recent slowdown in the AI-driven rise of Chinese stocks further contributed to this cautious economic outlook.

Highlights from the Market

  • Japan: Despite promising GDP figures, Japanese equities displayed minimal movement, overshadowing the positive data.
  • Australia: Stocks slipped down from record highs coinciding with the Reserve Bank of Australia’s two-day meeting, with anticipation of a potential rate cut.
  • Regional Sentiment: Mixed signals from Wall Street reflected in Asian markets, influenced by disappointing retail sales data that raised concerns about a sluggish U.S. economy.

Chinese Stock Market Updates

  • AI Surge Cooling: The previous enthusiasm surrounding Chinese tech stocks, particularly in Hong Kong, has faced setbacks. Both the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite saw a 0.1% decline, alongside a similar drop in the Hang Seng index.
  • DeepSeek’s Influence: While most stocks paused, Tencent Holdings Ltd gained over 6% following its Weixin app’s integration testing with DeepSeek R1, China’s latest AI model.

Trade War Fears Persist

  • Growing concerns about the U.S.-China trade war are overshadowing the bullish AI sentiment, escalating caution among investors regarding trade implications.

Forecast for the Markets

  • Investors are expected to keep a close watch on evolving trade dynamics and changes in central bank policies, which could dictate market fluctuations.

Conclusion

  • Asian markets are confronted with various economic pressures, which complicate the AI sector’s robustness. Overall market stability hangs in the balance, influenced by geopolitical moves and monetary policies.
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