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February 20, 2025

Apple’s Pricing Strategy at Risk Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Tariffs Could Diminish Apple’s Earnings

  • Bank of America suggests that a 10% tariff on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) products may decrease EPS by up to 3% unless compensated with price increases.
  • Recent tariffs stem from a memorandum signed by former President Trump, promoting a reciprocal tariff system.

Projections:

  • Apple sells about 50 million iPhones, 15 million iPads, and 10 million Macs annually within the U.S.
  • A 3% price increase could offset tariffs but limit sales by roughly 5%, potentially leading to a 2.4% drop in EPS by 2026.
  • To fully absorb the impacts, a 9% price hike may be required, considering a 5% reduction in sales.

Supply Chain Challenges: India and China

  • Apple has shifted some production operations to India, yet reciprocal tariffs could surpass China’s 10% rate.
  • This uncertainty complicates Apple’s supply chain strategy, affecting sourcing decisions.

Financial Insights


Key Takeaways

✔ 10% tariffs might hoist Apple’s EPS down by as much as 3% unless countered by price hikes
✔ Potential 3% price increase could ease the tariff impact but reduce sales volume
✔ Production shifts to India risk being offset by higher U.S. tariffs
✔ Vigilance over Apple’s pricing tactics and supply chain is advised for investors.

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