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May 19, 2025

Alibaba Faces AI Partnership Scrutiny as Share Prices Drop

Alibaba’s stock tumbled 3.8% to HK$118.60 in Hong Kong after news emerged that the Trump administration is investigating its AI partnership with Apple. The inquiry has sparked concerns over Chinese data regulations, model improvements, and potential content censorship issues.

Factors Behind the Decline

  • Regulatory Concerns: Officials in the White House fear that integrating Alibaba’s AI onto Apple iPhones could enhance Alibaba’s data capabilities while exposing Apple to strict Chinese laws.

  • Hang Seng Impact: Alibaba’s significant drop pulled down the Hang Seng index by 0.2%, indicating its strong influence on market perception.

Cloud Division Challenges

Alibaba’s ambitions in AI are under pressure following disappointing earnings from its cloud division in the March quarter. Investors are becoming skeptical about the potential for long-term growth due to delays in profitability and rising competition.

Valuation Insights

  • Currently, Alibaba trades at a trailing P/E of 21.4 times, indicating a slight premium compared to its sector average. This suggests that markets are factoring in both regulatory risks and growth uncertainties.

  • To navigate market volatility, traders might want to monitor intraday volume fluctuations and liquidity to identify optimal entry points.

Key Investor Takeaways

  1. Expect Volatility: Continued fluctuations are likely as US-China tech tensions evolve.

  2. Earnings Watch: Alibaba Cloud’s upcoming quarterly report will be crucial for restoring investor confidence.

  3. Use Real-time Data: Leverage up-to-date market feeds to make informed trading decisions during high-volatility periods.

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