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June 18, 2025

Nvidia Receives Upgraded Price Target from Barclays, Projecting Supply Chain Strength

Barclays announced an increased price target for Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), raising it to $200 from the previous $170. This updated target reflects growing confidence in Nvidia’s performance, driven by anticipated supply chain demand and momentum in the AI sector for the latter half of 2025.

This update signifies a potential 38 percent upside from Nvidia’s June 16 closing price of $144.69.

Supply Chain Insights Boosting Forecasts

Following strong first-quarter results, Barclaysโ€™ supply chain evaluation reveals an anticipated $2 billion revenue boost in July, surpassing consensus estimates. As a result, the bank has raised its full-year Compute segment revenue forecast to $37 billion, increasing from the earlier forecast of $35.6 billion.

Despite Blackwell chip production standing at only 30,000 wafers per monthโ€”falling short of Barclays’ prior estimate of 40,000โ€”the firm noted that overall utilization remains strong, and expectations for the second half are on the upswing.

  • Blackwell Ultra: Set to attain mass production by Q3.
  • System sales: Expected to account for 25 percent of July revenues, projected to increase to 50 percent by October.
  • Improving Gross Margins: Due to scale and a shift in product mix.

Get Insights into Nvidiaโ€™s Valuation Outlook:

  • Keep track of updated analyst targets and projected EPS to understand Nvidia’s market positioning.
  • Analyze revenue breakdown by chip categories and software applications to gauge growth areas.

Investment Outlook

The raised target reflects a 29x multiple applied to Nvidia’s 2026 non-GAAP EPS estimate of $6.86, up from $6.43. This increase in forecast shows Barclays’ confidence in Nvidia’s sustained dominance in the AI and compute infrastructure sectors, despite encountering short-term supply issues.

As demand rises for both Blackwell systems and AI data center infrastructure, Nvidia’s continued growth narrative remains positive, with significant upside potential expected in upcoming quarters.

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