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June 17, 2025

Bank of Japan Maintains Interest Rates, Signals Slower Bond Tapering from 2026

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 0.5%, marking three consecutive policy meetings without any change. While the decision was anticipated, investors closely monitored the BOJ’s hints on the pace of bond purchase tapering, which has now been set to proceed more gradually beginning in April 2026.

Takeaways from BOJ’s Decision

  • Interest rate remains unchanged at 0.5%, following a 25 basis point increase in January.

  • Starting in April 2026, bond purchases will be reduced by 200 billion yen quarterly, down from the current 400 billion yen.

  • An interim review of this tapering strategy is planned for June 2026.

This cautious approach indicates that the BOJ aims to avoid market disruptions while setting the stage to exit from years of highly accommodative monetary policy.

Relevance of the BOJ’s Decision

Japanโ€™s economy is currently experiencing pressures from a mixture of domestic softness and external shocks, particularly from U.S. trade tariffs. The BOJ’s statement noted that while the economy is moderately recovering, some signs of weakness have emerged, and growth is expected to slow further.

The central bank had already revised its GDP and inflation forecasts downwards this year due to a fragile recovery and limited global demand.

The Path Towards Normalization

The BOJ’s roadmap for bond tapering aligns with its broader goal of monetary normalization following years of stimulus. However, the goal’s gradual approach reflects a desire for prudence:

  • Support fragile domestic demand amid a global slowdown

  • Maintain stability in bond markets throughout the transition

  • Avoid abrupt changes that could derail recovery or generate volatility

Broader Policies in Perspective

The BOJ stands out among global central banks, balancing the need for normalization with ongoing economic support. This stance contrasts sharply with more aggressive positions adopted by peers, like the U.S. Federal Reserve, which primarily confronts inflation risks.

For those tracking monetary policy divergence and Japanโ€™s monetary trajectory, the BOJ’s latest actions emphasize a focus on patience rather than speed. Attention will now shift to the June 2026 review, which plays a crucial role in shaping the pace of normalization for the remainder of the decade.

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