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May 12, 2025

U.S. and China Reach 90-Day Tariff Suspension: What It Means for Markets

After intense negotiations, the United States and China have agreed to halt escalating tariffs for 90 days, dropping most reciprocal tariffs to 10%. This development marks a significant step back from months of escalating trade tensions.

Details of the Agreement

  • U.S. Tariffs on China: Reduced from as high as 145% on select goods to 10%, with a special 20% levy still related to fentanyl-related goods.

  • Chinese Duties on U.S. Goods: Slashed from 125% down to 10% over the same period.

  • Pausing Tariffs: No new tariffs will be enacted during the 90-day negotiation window.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that there were no intentions to decouple their economies and praised the new mechanism to prevent future tariff escalations.

Market Reaction Overview

Investors responded positively to the announcement:

  • U.S. stock futures: Saw gains, indicating renewed interest in riskier assets.

  • U.S. dollar: Strengthened against major currencies, and the Chinese yuan appreciated amid expectations of diminished trade tensions.

With both nations planning further consultations, markets will closely monitor progress on specific issues like agriculture, technology, and intellectual property rights.

Significance of the Agreement

This tariff halt allows negotiators to gain time but does not settle core conflicts. Important discussion areas include:

  1. Agricultural Trade: The U.S. seeks increased Chinese imports of agricultural products.

  2. Tech Collaborations: Conversation will focus on intellectual property protection and technology cooperation.

  3. Enforcement Mechanisms: Both parties need to ensure adherence to any new agreements.

Stay Updated on Trade Developments

To keep up with forthcoming negotiations and economic data, stakeholders can utilize the economics calendar for quick updates on economic indicators and trade reports.

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