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April 30, 2025

GM Halts Guidance and Buybacks as New Tariffs Emerge

Stock Experience Premarket Decline Amid An Uncertain Outlook

General Motors (NYSE:GM) shares fell nearly 3% in premarket trading after the automaker retracted its 2025 earnings forecast and suspended a $4 billion share buyback plan due to uncertainties surrounding newly imposed U.S. tariffs.

Strong Q1 Results but Cash Flow Concerns

GM reported first-quarter EPS of $2.78, exceeding consensus estimates of $2.61, and generated $44.02 billion in revenue compared to the anticipated $43.26 billion. Their adjusted EBIT reached $3.49 billion, slightly above forecasts, albeit a 9.8% decline year-over-year. Nevertheless, the companyโ€™s adjusted automotive free cash flow dropped by 26% to $811 million, falling short of the expected $833.9 million.

Analysts tracking GMโ€™s cash-generation performance can use the Owner Earnings Statement Analysis API to monitor trends and evaluate free cash yield shifts.

Impact of Tariff Uncertainty on Strategy

CFO Paul Jacobson stated, โ€œBecause the original projections did not consider the effects of tariffs, previous guidance can no longer be relied upon.โ€ The unexpected tariffsโ€”set at 25% for finished vehicles and componentsโ€”have disrupted GMโ€™s planning processes, prompting a reevaluation of cost structures and capital allocations before resuming buybacks.

Upcoming Investor Update

GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra, along with CFO Paul Jacobson, will conduct a rescheduled earnings call on Thursday, May 1 at 8:30 am ET to offer updated guidance once the implications of tariffs become clearer.

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