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April 30, 2025

Investing Wisdom: Staying Invested Outperforms Market Timing Strategies

Missing Key Trading Days Reduces Returns Significantly

A recent analysis by Wells Fargo reveals that missing the top 30 trading days in the S&P 500 over the past 30 years would have drastically lowered average annual returns from 8.03% to merely 1.67%, dropping below inflation. This stark contrast illustrates that attempting to avoid downturns often means sacrificing succession during recovery periods that contribute to long-term growth.

Understanding Volatility as an Opportunity

Market fluctuations, especially those driven by tariff-related volatility, serve as a reminder of the pitfalls of market timing. For instance, the S&P 500 faced a drop on April 3, erasing $2.4 trillion in valueโ€”only to rebound by 9.5% just days later after tariff relief signals. Instead of hastily reacting to market changes, Wells Fargo recommends that investors rebalance during turbulent times and keep a focus on long-term impacts.

Tracking Real-Time Market Pressures

Historical data indicates that when the marketโ€™s fear gauge (VIX) soars above 40, subsequent equity gains tend to follow. For those engaged in active trading, the Technical Intraday StdDev API allows for real-time volatility measures that help identify significant market moves without the risk of premature exits.

Commit to Long-Term Investment Strategies

Maintaining a fully invested position proves more rewarding over an entire market cycle compared to the strategy of evading downturns. Periods of high volatility often set the stage for improved equity performance once stability returns. By effectively utilizing volatility indicators and maintaining a long-term focus, investors can capture opportunities while avoiding the risks associated with hasty decisions influenced by headlines.

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